Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.456583 0.531407 0.614235 0.712672 0.826426 0.953712 1.106920
2025-03-02 0.326828 0.424932 0.545552 0.704528 0.908343 1.160695 1.496757
2025-03-09 0.259552 0.365296 0.505420 0.704198 0.978463 1.343114 1.864422
2025-03-16 0.207209 0.311301 0.457991 0.679007 1.002799 1.458980 2.149760
2025-03-23 0.188086 0.298770 0.463147 0.723833 1.125649 1.720158 2.665157
2025-03-30 0.157987 0.264110 0.429454 0.704226 1.147802 1.833919 2.973540
2025-04-06 0.133395 0.233742 0.397135 0.680572 1.157930 1.926886 3.256330
2025-04-13 0.113917 0.208560 0.369119 0.658970 1.166668 2.015775 3.539133
2025-04-20 0.102422 0.195286 0.358915 0.665383 1.221944 2.185444 3.973745
2025-04-27 0.096836 0.191725 0.364899 0.700478 1.330588 2.456647 4.613027
2025-05-04 0.089950 0.184649 0.363397 0.721252 1.414961 2.692845 5.213929
2025-05-11 0.082224 0.174786 0.355268 0.728111 1.473368 2.886738 5.755834
2025-05-18 0.074193 0.163415 0.343217 0.726667 1.517288 3.061443 6.287660
2025-05-25 0.066524 0.151750 0.329174 0.719597 1.549519 3.217879 6.803417
2025-06-01 0.060456 0.142630 0.319118 0.719318 1.595202 3.405148 7.401160
2025-06-08 0.053040 0.129389 0.298517 0.693603 1.583602 3.473438 7.758156
2025-06-15 0.051942 0.130578 0.309678 0.739367 1.732651 3.893744 8.911137
2025-06-22 0.046259 0.119999 0.292884 0.719350 1.732030 3.991710 9.368774
2025-06-29 0.040995 0.109670 0.275318 0.695201 1.718791 4.059862 9.766006
2025-07-06 0.036478 0.100567 0.259490 0.673146 1.707653 4.131067 10.177176
2025-07-13 0.034023 0.096490 0.255471 0.679693 1.766331 4.369575 11.007360
2025-07-20 0.033259 0.096849 0.262669 0.715523 1.901667 4.803207 12.352975
2025-07-27 0.031802 0.095089 0.264167 0.736732 2.002320 5.163151 13.554916